By JIM CARLTON
The green building movement is targeting a goal once thought virtually unattainable: zero net energy use.
While the trend is nascent, dozens of "net zero" and "near net zero" developments -- projects designed to use only about as much power from the public grid as they can save or produce on their own -- have sprung up across the U.S. over the past five years.
Zero-Sum Game
View Interactive
See the details of a net-zero house, which produces as much energy as it consumes.
In Greenfield, Mass., nonprofit Rural Development Inc. has completed eight of 20 planned duplex homes that use almost no net energy. In Berkeley, Calif., ZETA Communities Inc. plans to build a 30-unit net-zero apartment building after opening a factory that can construct 400 to 500 prefabricated net-zero homes a year. And in Green Valley, Ariz., builder Pepper Viner Homes says it plans to incorporate green techniques into a senior housing community so that it reduces energy use more than 50%. U.S. officials are working to wean federal buildings off fossil fuel by 2020, a step they say will help the buildings become almost net-zero energy users.
Behind the push is the fact that buildings are a major consumer of power, accounting for an estimated 40% of energy usage in the U.S.
But a bigger shift toward net-zero construction faces hurdles, largely because such buildings often are more expensive to build. To reach zero energy use, for instance, a building needs to produce its own power such as through solar or wind. Rooftop solar panels can cost upward of $10,000 on a three-bedroom home alone.
Some industry analysts say the costs of erecting net-zero homes have declined somewhat as green building has become more mainstream. With energy costs more than doubling across the U.S. in the past decade, energy-savings measures have become more attractive to builders.
In Greenfield, Mass., where Rural Development is putting up duplexes, the premium for a net-zero home is as much as 15%. For example, it has one three-bedroom home on the market for $240,000, compared with about $203,000 for a comparable home without net-zero features, says Anne Perkins, a Rural Development director. Most of that extra cost is for solar systems, she says.
Building Green
View Interactive
See how the National Renewable Energy Laboratory is building a $64 million "net-zero" research campus.
* More interactive graphics and photos
Eight of Rural Development's net-zero homes built so far have been purchased. One selling point: energy bills that can run more than $2,700 a year are cut to about $700, and total energy savings allow buyers to recoup the purchase premium in roughly 12 years after tax incentives and rebates are included.
Officials of Western Massachusetts Electric Co., which provided financial incentives for the development, say they want to see more projects like this. "The more you can have of this type of work, the less power plants you have to put on line," says John Walsh, a conservation supervisor at the utility.
Some consumers have found a way to add green features to their homes without piling on extra costs. In Hermosa Beach, Calif., Robert and Monica Fortunato are planning to expand their 50-year-old home, adding 611 square feet to their existing 1,329 square feet. The two are committed environmentalists, and their plan is to make the home net zero, despite the increase in size. They expect the work to cost $400,000, about the same as a conventional remodeling that lacked energy savings.
Mr. Fortunato, a management consultant, says he and his wife, an occupational therapist, plan to use special insulation panels that help modulate room temperatures by melting and resolidifying of paraffin wax inside, which reduces energy costs. They would offset the cost of the panels by not having to buy a big furnace.
"We want to save the planet," says Ms. Fortunato.
Write to Jim Carlton at jim.carlton@wsj.com
Thursday, December 24, 2009
A word from one of my trusted lenders:
I always advise my clients to lock in their interest rate at the earliest opportunity. Gambling with a client's interest rate is never advisable. In my business, I have a standardized system in place that we adhere to for all of our clientele.
A mortgage loan cannot be closed without locking in a rate, and there are three main elements to take into consideration:
• Interest Rate
• Points
• Length of the lock
Locking in on a rate does not obligate the client to commit to the loan until the loan is actually closed. The lock simply eliminates any risk of the borrower being exposed to market volatility. It provides the security of having time to complete the mortgage and real estate transactions with some sense of order. The lender must disburse funds to complete the transaction within the rate-lock period, or else the original commitment to provide a loan at a certain interest rate will expire.
When a lender permits an extended lock-in period, the borrower will usually see either a higher interest rate or more points associated with the loan. The lender does this to minimize their own exposure to market volatility; hence the borrower pays for the lender to take on this risk.
For example, a 30-day rate lock commitment may cost the consumer one-half point, while a 60-day rate lock commitment could cost 1 full point. If the borrower needed an extended lock period, but did not want to pay points, the lender could make up the difference in the interest rate. In this case, typically, a 60-day lock would have a higher interest rate than a 30-day lock.
In my business, our standard procedure is to lock in a rate as quickly as possible once we have received the loan application. My team and I let our clients know that while interest rates fluctuate daily, most lenders do not want to lose any business. We know that in many cases, if there is a significant rally in the market that causes interest rates to drop .25% or more, we can ask the lender to renegotiate the rate. or understand that we will take the loan to another lender. Often the lender allows for a renegotiation of the rate to avoid losing the loan to another lender.
If we allow our clients to sit on the fence and not lock in a rate quickly, we would leave them exposed to market volatility. Then, if rates do increase, the borrower may be unable to qualify for the loan they want, which is a situation we try to avoid at all costs.
By knowing our clients' needs and working intimately with them to make the right decisions, my team and I are proud to say that we have many clients who are raving fans.
A mortgage loan cannot be closed without locking in a rate, and there are three main elements to take into consideration:
• Interest Rate
• Points
• Length of the lock
Locking in on a rate does not obligate the client to commit to the loan until the loan is actually closed. The lock simply eliminates any risk of the borrower being exposed to market volatility. It provides the security of having time to complete the mortgage and real estate transactions with some sense of order. The lender must disburse funds to complete the transaction within the rate-lock period, or else the original commitment to provide a loan at a certain interest rate will expire.
When a lender permits an extended lock-in period, the borrower will usually see either a higher interest rate or more points associated with the loan. The lender does this to minimize their own exposure to market volatility; hence the borrower pays for the lender to take on this risk.
For example, a 30-day rate lock commitment may cost the consumer one-half point, while a 60-day rate lock commitment could cost 1 full point. If the borrower needed an extended lock period, but did not want to pay points, the lender could make up the difference in the interest rate. In this case, typically, a 60-day lock would have a higher interest rate than a 30-day lock.
In my business, our standard procedure is to lock in a rate as quickly as possible once we have received the loan application. My team and I let our clients know that while interest rates fluctuate daily, most lenders do not want to lose any business. We know that in many cases, if there is a significant rally in the market that causes interest rates to drop .25% or more, we can ask the lender to renegotiate the rate. or understand that we will take the loan to another lender. Often the lender allows for a renegotiation of the rate to avoid losing the loan to another lender.
If we allow our clients to sit on the fence and not lock in a rate quickly, we would leave them exposed to market volatility. Then, if rates do increase, the borrower may be unable to qualify for the loan they want, which is a situation we try to avoid at all costs.
By knowing our clients' needs and working intimately with them to make the right decisions, my team and I are proud to say that we have many clients who are raving fans.
Friday, December 18, 2009
Home Price Expectations - Will They Rise?
Home Price Expectations—Will They Rise?
by Phoebe Chongchua
According to a recent fourth quarter survey by HomeGain.com, 72 percent of Realtors believe that home prices will either stay the same (48 percent) or increase (24 percent) in the next six months. Despite that news, the study found that an increasing number of homeowners (41 percent) think that their homes should be listed 10 to 20 percent higher than what is being recommended by Realtors. In the third quarter of this year that figure was down to 38 percent and in the second quarter it was at 36 percent.
But the flip side of the coin shows that 62 percent of buyers think homes are still overpriced. According to the survey, that figure is slightly down from 64 percent in the third quarter but up from first quarter statistics (59 percent).
The national study surveys 1,000 current and former HomeGain Realtor members and was conducted between December 1 to 6. According to the study, 21 percent of those surveyed say that half of their transactions involved a first-time homebuyer. The extension of the tax incentives for buying homes is being credited. (Read my column: Extended Tax Credit for Homebuyers and Homeowners.)
In a statement issued by HomeGain’s Louis Cammarosano, the company’s general manager, said, "The fourth quarter HomeGain Home Prices Survey of Realtors shows that Realtors believe that the first-time homebuyers tax credit has driven sales and stabilized home prices, for now. Realtors, however, expressed concerns about the cost of the credit to taxpayers and whether sales will continue once the credit expires later next year and additional inventory hits the market.” The study also asked respondents “whether they approved or disapproved of President Obama’s performance so far—42 percent approved and 58 percent disapproved, unchanged from the third quarter and down from the second quarter when the President’s approval rating stood at 57 percent.
Another poll, the Rasmussen Daily Presidential Approval Rating Tracking Poll, published on December 11, 2009, stated that, “Overall, 47 percent of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the President's performance. Fifty-one percent (51 percent) disapprove.” Still, respondents remain optimistic about the housing industry, “The vast majority of Realtors expect prices to remain the same or increase in the first six months of 2010,” said Cammarosano.
With more first-time buyers searching the market for homes, everything from short sales to foreclosures is being considered. And for sellers, estimates that as high as one in five of homeowners is underwater are causing them to take a hard look at their financial situation. Some are turning to an informational Web site called PayorGo.com. It offers a calculation service to help make the decision but doesn’t offer financial or legal advice on the site. The site aims to address this question, “Is it in my economic interest to walk away? You decide.
This calculator is just a tool to help. Numerous variables are involved but the biggest is probably your assessment of the future of housing pricing.” Interestingly, buyers may not be capitalizing on all of the available incentives and resources. In an article published in the San Francisco Chronicle in early December, Walter Zhovreboff, the administrative director of the Bay Area Home Buyer Agency (that promotes homeownership) said, "Many cities have adequate funding to assist families here (with down payments) and we're not running out of money. It's phenomenally frustrating." Some cities still offer down payment assistance for low-to-moderate income levels. Many of these loans are known as “sleeper loans” which provide a period where no money is initially needed to be paid toward repayment, then a moderate interest rate is applied and the loan is paid back over many years.
As always, give me a call for more information and additional resources for your area.
by Phoebe Chongchua
According to a recent fourth quarter survey by HomeGain.com, 72 percent of Realtors believe that home prices will either stay the same (48 percent) or increase (24 percent) in the next six months. Despite that news, the study found that an increasing number of homeowners (41 percent) think that their homes should be listed 10 to 20 percent higher than what is being recommended by Realtors. In the third quarter of this year that figure was down to 38 percent and in the second quarter it was at 36 percent.
But the flip side of the coin shows that 62 percent of buyers think homes are still overpriced. According to the survey, that figure is slightly down from 64 percent in the third quarter but up from first quarter statistics (59 percent).
The national study surveys 1,000 current and former HomeGain Realtor members and was conducted between December 1 to 6. According to the study, 21 percent of those surveyed say that half of their transactions involved a first-time homebuyer. The extension of the tax incentives for buying homes is being credited. (Read my column: Extended Tax Credit for Homebuyers and Homeowners.)
In a statement issued by HomeGain’s Louis Cammarosano, the company’s general manager, said, "The fourth quarter HomeGain Home Prices Survey of Realtors shows that Realtors believe that the first-time homebuyers tax credit has driven sales and stabilized home prices, for now. Realtors, however, expressed concerns about the cost of the credit to taxpayers and whether sales will continue once the credit expires later next year and additional inventory hits the market.” The study also asked respondents “whether they approved or disapproved of President Obama’s performance so far—42 percent approved and 58 percent disapproved, unchanged from the third quarter and down from the second quarter when the President’s approval rating stood at 57 percent.
Another poll, the Rasmussen Daily Presidential Approval Rating Tracking Poll, published on December 11, 2009, stated that, “Overall, 47 percent of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the President's performance. Fifty-one percent (51 percent) disapprove.” Still, respondents remain optimistic about the housing industry, “The vast majority of Realtors expect prices to remain the same or increase in the first six months of 2010,” said Cammarosano.
With more first-time buyers searching the market for homes, everything from short sales to foreclosures is being considered. And for sellers, estimates that as high as one in five of homeowners is underwater are causing them to take a hard look at their financial situation. Some are turning to an informational Web site called PayorGo.com. It offers a calculation service to help make the decision but doesn’t offer financial or legal advice on the site. The site aims to address this question, “Is it in my economic interest to walk away? You decide.
This calculator is just a tool to help. Numerous variables are involved but the biggest is probably your assessment of the future of housing pricing.” Interestingly, buyers may not be capitalizing on all of the available incentives and resources. In an article published in the San Francisco Chronicle in early December, Walter Zhovreboff, the administrative director of the Bay Area Home Buyer Agency (that promotes homeownership) said, "Many cities have adequate funding to assist families here (with down payments) and we're not running out of money. It's phenomenally frustrating." Some cities still offer down payment assistance for low-to-moderate income levels. Many of these loans are known as “sleeper loans” which provide a period where no money is initially needed to be paid toward repayment, then a moderate interest rate is applied and the loan is paid back over many years.
As always, give me a call for more information and additional resources for your area.
Thursday, December 17, 2009
The Truth About Appraisals
The Truth About Appraisals
Knowing the Guidelines Solves the Mystery
The appraisal process often baffles consumers. They may feel that their home is worth a higher dollar amount, and so the appraised value doesn't always make sense to them. It is important to know that the appraiser is completely independent from lenders, buyers, sellers, and real estate agents, and that the guidelines to which they adhere are dictated by the Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice (USPAP) and Fannie Mae. In most states, the mortgage lenders must also disclose the purpose of the appraisal, as each transaction carries its own set of rules.
In essence, these important guidelines help appraisers put a fair market value on homes based on comparable sales in the same area, and the home must be bracketed in size and value.
For example, there is no set dollar figure associated with a great view, pool, spa, bathroom upgrades, etc. If a homeowner installs a custom pool that cost them $30,000, but the local marketplace supports the value of a pool at $15,000, then that item will be bracketed as [$15,000] on the appraisal.
Upgrades can usually be expressed at a higher percentage of their value in newer homes because the only way to obtain those upgrades was to put more money into the cost of building the home. On the other hand, the upgrading or remodeling of an older home is rarely reflected in full in the final appraisal. This is because typically 25-40% of the project involves demolition and the fixing of issues that aren't uncovered until the project has already begun, such as plumbing or wiring that may need updating.
Ultimately, the value of the upgrades must be supported by comparable examples within the same marketplace. These comparisons must be drawn from current market activity within the last six months. This is a safeguard to prevent appraisers from attaching too high a value to the home in question, and opening up the appraisal for review. This guideline further states that appraisers can only base their opinion on the value of home sales that have actually closed.
As a loan professional, I make a point to follow the appropriate guidelines at all times. This promotes a good relationship with the lender, and helps to create easier and much smoother closings for my borrowers.
Knowing the Guidelines Solves the Mystery
The appraisal process often baffles consumers. They may feel that their home is worth a higher dollar amount, and so the appraised value doesn't always make sense to them. It is important to know that the appraiser is completely independent from lenders, buyers, sellers, and real estate agents, and that the guidelines to which they adhere are dictated by the Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice (USPAP) and Fannie Mae. In most states, the mortgage lenders must also disclose the purpose of the appraisal, as each transaction carries its own set of rules.
In essence, these important guidelines help appraisers put a fair market value on homes based on comparable sales in the same area, and the home must be bracketed in size and value.
For example, there is no set dollar figure associated with a great view, pool, spa, bathroom upgrades, etc. If a homeowner installs a custom pool that cost them $30,000, but the local marketplace supports the value of a pool at $15,000, then that item will be bracketed as [$15,000] on the appraisal.
Upgrades can usually be expressed at a higher percentage of their value in newer homes because the only way to obtain those upgrades was to put more money into the cost of building the home. On the other hand, the upgrading or remodeling of an older home is rarely reflected in full in the final appraisal. This is because typically 25-40% of the project involves demolition and the fixing of issues that aren't uncovered until the project has already begun, such as plumbing or wiring that may need updating.
Ultimately, the value of the upgrades must be supported by comparable examples within the same marketplace. These comparisons must be drawn from current market activity within the last six months. This is a safeguard to prevent appraisers from attaching too high a value to the home in question, and opening up the appraisal for review. This guideline further states that appraisers can only base their opinion on the value of home sales that have actually closed.
As a loan professional, I make a point to follow the appropriate guidelines at all times. This promotes a good relationship with the lender, and helps to create easier and much smoother closings for my borrowers.
Thursday, December 10, 2009
Baby Boomers
Baby Boomers Retire
Reverse Mortgages Gain Popularity
Born between 1946-1964, the generation known as the Baby Boomers will begin to retire in large numbers, substantially shrinking the labor force in the US. As a result, Social Security, Medicare, and other government programs will be significantly affected over the next several years. In fact, the Social Security Advisory Board (SSAB) estimates that, by 2030, about 20% of the American population will be 65 years old or older.
With rising costs of living and a dwindling budget to accommodate the elderly and disabled, we will see increased usage of the reverse mortgage. This loan allows equity to be taken out of the home to meet day-to-day expenses, and was designed in the late 1980s to help those who owned property, but lacked sufficient income to live on. However, there are benefits and disadvantages to be considered before going into this type of loan.
In most loan scenarios a home will go into foreclosure if payment is not made. If payments are made, the debt decreases and equity increases. The opposite holds true for a reverse mortgage; equity is taken out of the home to sustain the family, causing debt to increase while equity decreases. There is an exception - if the actual value of the home increases, less equity will be lost overall.
Most reverse mortgages are set up so there is no monthly payment as long as the owner resides in the home. There are no minimum income requirements, and the money can be used for any purpose. Equity disbursed from this type of loan is tax-free. Depending on the type of plan, reverse mortgages will usually allow the owner to retain the title to the property until they have lived in a different residence for 12 months, sold the property, died, or the end of the loan term has been reached.
On the flip side, reverse mortgages can be more costly than a normal equity loan. Interest is added to the principal balance each month, and the amount of interest owed is compounded over time. The interest will not be tax deductible until the loan is paid off, in part or in full. Also, since the reverse mortgage uses equity in the property, this constitutes a loss of assets one could pass on to heirs.
The Federal Trade Commission warns of abuse with this type of loan, as they have received reports of predatory lenders taking advantage of the elderly. It is best for the individual interested in a reverse mortgage to research and obtain counsel from reputable sources.* HUD does not recommend consulting an estate planning service to obtain a referral to a lender. HUD provides this information free to the public. Even if the home loan was not originally an FHA loan, the reverse mortgage can be federally secured.
Reverse Mortgages Gain Popularity
Born between 1946-1964, the generation known as the Baby Boomers will begin to retire in large numbers, substantially shrinking the labor force in the US. As a result, Social Security, Medicare, and other government programs will be significantly affected over the next several years. In fact, the Social Security Advisory Board (SSAB) estimates that, by 2030, about 20% of the American population will be 65 years old or older.
With rising costs of living and a dwindling budget to accommodate the elderly and disabled, we will see increased usage of the reverse mortgage. This loan allows equity to be taken out of the home to meet day-to-day expenses, and was designed in the late 1980s to help those who owned property, but lacked sufficient income to live on. However, there are benefits and disadvantages to be considered before going into this type of loan.
In most loan scenarios a home will go into foreclosure if payment is not made. If payments are made, the debt decreases and equity increases. The opposite holds true for a reverse mortgage; equity is taken out of the home to sustain the family, causing debt to increase while equity decreases. There is an exception - if the actual value of the home increases, less equity will be lost overall.
Most reverse mortgages are set up so there is no monthly payment as long as the owner resides in the home. There are no minimum income requirements, and the money can be used for any purpose. Equity disbursed from this type of loan is tax-free. Depending on the type of plan, reverse mortgages will usually allow the owner to retain the title to the property until they have lived in a different residence for 12 months, sold the property, died, or the end of the loan term has been reached.
On the flip side, reverse mortgages can be more costly than a normal equity loan. Interest is added to the principal balance each month, and the amount of interest owed is compounded over time. The interest will not be tax deductible until the loan is paid off, in part or in full. Also, since the reverse mortgage uses equity in the property, this constitutes a loss of assets one could pass on to heirs.
The Federal Trade Commission warns of abuse with this type of loan, as they have received reports of predatory lenders taking advantage of the elderly. It is best for the individual interested in a reverse mortgage to research and obtain counsel from reputable sources.* HUD does not recommend consulting an estate planning service to obtain a referral to a lender. HUD provides this information free to the public. Even if the home loan was not originally an FHA loan, the reverse mortgage can be federally secured.
Sunday, December 6, 2009
Market Conditions
Existing home sales have shown promising figures, as first-time buyers take advantage of the buyer tax credit and historically low interest rates.
Existing-home sales – including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – surged 10.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate1 of 6.10 million units in October from a downwardly revised pace of 5.54 million in September, and are 23.5 percent above the 4.94 million-unit level in October 2008. Sales activity is at the highest pace since February 2007 when it hit 6.55 million.
Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, was surprised at the size of the gain. "Many buyers have been rushing to beat the deadline for the first-time buyer tax credit that was scheduled to expire at the end of this month, and similarly robust sales may be occurring in November," he said. "With such a sale spike, a measurable decline should be anticipated in December and early next year before another surge in spring and early summer."
Regionally, existing-home sales in the Northeast rose 11.6 percent to an annual level of 1.06 million in October, and are 27.7 percent higher than October 2008. The median price in the Northeast was $235,400, down 2.6 percent from a year ago.
Existing-home sales in the Midwest surged 14.4 percent. The median price in the Midwest was $146,600, a gain of 1.1 percent from October 2008, the only region seeing a gain in median price.
In the South, existing-home sales rose 12.7 percent to an annual level of 2.30 million in October and are 25.7 percent higher than October 2008. The median price in the South was $151,100, down 6.3 percent from a year ago.
The smallest increase in existing-home sales was seen in the West, which increased just 1.6. However, this number is a healthy 12.0 percent above a year ago. Home prices are still down for the region.
Existing-home sales – including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – surged 10.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate1 of 6.10 million units in October from a downwardly revised pace of 5.54 million in September, and are 23.5 percent above the 4.94 million-unit level in October 2008. Sales activity is at the highest pace since February 2007 when it hit 6.55 million.
Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, was surprised at the size of the gain. "Many buyers have been rushing to beat the deadline for the first-time buyer tax credit that was scheduled to expire at the end of this month, and similarly robust sales may be occurring in November," he said. "With such a sale spike, a measurable decline should be anticipated in December and early next year before another surge in spring and early summer."
Regionally, existing-home sales in the Northeast rose 11.6 percent to an annual level of 1.06 million in October, and are 27.7 percent higher than October 2008. The median price in the Northeast was $235,400, down 2.6 percent from a year ago.
Existing-home sales in the Midwest surged 14.4 percent. The median price in the Midwest was $146,600, a gain of 1.1 percent from October 2008, the only region seeing a gain in median price.
In the South, existing-home sales rose 12.7 percent to an annual level of 2.30 million in October and are 25.7 percent higher than October 2008. The median price in the South was $151,100, down 6.3 percent from a year ago.
The smallest increase in existing-home sales was seen in the West, which increased just 1.6. However, this number is a healthy 12.0 percent above a year ago. Home prices are still down for the region.
Wednesday, December 2, 2009
The Federal Reserve and Mortgage Rates
The Federal Reserve and Mortgage Rates
Understanding What Causes Interest Rate Movement
Consumers are often misled when it comes to the subject of the Federal Reserve and how it affects mortgage interest rates. Often the media is the culprit causing the confusion. Many times, the Fed has taken action that caused mortgage interest rates to move in a direction other than what consumers expected, because the media provided weak reporting on the subject.
The Federal Reserve affects short-term interest rate maturities, the Fed Funds rate, and the Overnight Lending rate. These factors have a direct impact on the Prime rate. If you took only this into consideration, you may mistakenly conclude that changes made by the Fed will cause a similar movement in mortgage interest rates. However, mortgage interest rates are dictated by the trading of mortgage-backed securities, which trade on a daily basis. The real dynamic at the heart of interest rate movement is the relationship between stocks and bonds.
Stocks and bonds compete for the same investment dollar on a daily basis. There is literally only so much money to be invested. When the Federal Reserve feels that interest rates need to be decreased in an effort to stimulate the economy, this reduction in rates can often cause a stock market rally. When the market becomes bullish, the money to invest in stocks comes from the selling of mortgage-backed securities.
Unfortunately, selling mortgage-backed securities to fuel stock market rallies causes interest rates to go up, not down.
Historically, there have been many times when the Federal Reserve has increased interest rates. Stocks then sell off in fear that the increase will affect corporate profit margins, and the liquidated stock assets need a place to park until the next rally comes along. The safe haven is found in mortgage-backed securities which cause mortgage rates to drop.
The daily ebb and flow of money is what matters most when it comes to the movement of mortgage interest rates. I make it a point to continuosly monitor interest rates for my clients, and advise them of opportunities to manage their mortgage debt at a better rate. This is the foundation of my business model as a Trusted Advisor.
Let's discuss how we can better educate our clients on the largest purchase they'll ever make!
Understanding What Causes Interest Rate Movement
Consumers are often misled when it comes to the subject of the Federal Reserve and how it affects mortgage interest rates. Often the media is the culprit causing the confusion. Many times, the Fed has taken action that caused mortgage interest rates to move in a direction other than what consumers expected, because the media provided weak reporting on the subject.
The Federal Reserve affects short-term interest rate maturities, the Fed Funds rate, and the Overnight Lending rate. These factors have a direct impact on the Prime rate. If you took only this into consideration, you may mistakenly conclude that changes made by the Fed will cause a similar movement in mortgage interest rates. However, mortgage interest rates are dictated by the trading of mortgage-backed securities, which trade on a daily basis. The real dynamic at the heart of interest rate movement is the relationship between stocks and bonds.
Stocks and bonds compete for the same investment dollar on a daily basis. There is literally only so much money to be invested. When the Federal Reserve feels that interest rates need to be decreased in an effort to stimulate the economy, this reduction in rates can often cause a stock market rally. When the market becomes bullish, the money to invest in stocks comes from the selling of mortgage-backed securities.
Unfortunately, selling mortgage-backed securities to fuel stock market rallies causes interest rates to go up, not down.
Historically, there have been many times when the Federal Reserve has increased interest rates. Stocks then sell off in fear that the increase will affect corporate profit margins, and the liquidated stock assets need a place to park until the next rally comes along. The safe haven is found in mortgage-backed securities which cause mortgage rates to drop.
The daily ebb and flow of money is what matters most when it comes to the movement of mortgage interest rates. I make it a point to continuosly monitor interest rates for my clients, and advise them of opportunities to manage their mortgage debt at a better rate. This is the foundation of my business model as a Trusted Advisor.
Let's discuss how we can better educate our clients on the largest purchase they'll ever make!
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